BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Forest City

Class: 2A Class Rank: 37 Conference: 2A-3 Record: (4-14-0) Overall: (24-66-0) Overall Strength =   58.18

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    L    41.96   0  21   1A  24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield       -16.18     -4.82                      
  2 09/07/2001 Away    L    46.12   0  31    A   3 ( 75- 29-  0) Britt West Hancock    -12.02    -18.98                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W    79.44  18   6   2A  17 ( 46- 49-  0) Estherville LC         21.30     -9.30                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    L    38.40   0  51   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -19.73    -31.27                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    L    32.74   6  36   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City          -25.39     -4.61                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    W    78.60  18   7   3A  43 ( 43- 52-  0) Humboldt               20.46     -9.46                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    L    45.50   7  34   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                 -12.64    -14.36                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    L    22.21   0  43   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                -35.93     -7.07                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    L    42.40  16  42   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -15.73    -10.27                      
 10 09/06/2002 Away    L    53.45  12  21    A  14 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme         -4.69     -4.31                      
 11 09/13/2002 Home    L    60.06   0  14    A   3 ( 75- 29-  0) Britt West Hancock      1.92    -15.92                      
 12 09/20/2002 Home    L    58.13   0  14   3A  25 ( 49- 47-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     -0.01    -13.99                      
 13 09/27/2002 Away    L *  42.19   0  40   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton           -15.95    -24.05                      
 14 10/04/2002 Home    W *  65.57  17  14 1 2A  23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus       7.44     -4.44                      
 15 10/11/2002 Home    L    52.35   0  34   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             -5.79    -28.21                      
 16 10/18/2002 Away    L    59.46   6  18   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City            1.32    -13.32                      
 17 10/25/2002 Away    W   109.80  44   0   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City           51.66     -7.66                      
 18 11/01/2002 Home    W    77.99  24   6   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont         19.85     -1.85                      
 19 09/05/2003 Home    W    73.39  20   6    A  14 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme         15.26     -1.26                      
 20 09/12/2003 Away    L    45.12   7  39    A   3 ( 75- 29-  0) Britt West Hancock    -13.02    -18.98                      
 21 09/19/2003 Away    L    41.18   6  40   3A  25 ( 49- 47-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock    -16.95    -17.05                      
 22 09/26/2003 Home    L *  60.13   0  19   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             1.99    -20.99                      
 23 10/03/2003 Away    L *  42.63   7  30   2A  23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus     -15.51     -7.49                      
 24 10/10/2003 Away    L    73.40  12  28   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             15.27    -31.27                      
 25 10/17/2003 Home    L    47.40   0  21   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -10.73    -10.27                      
 26 10/24/2003 Home    L    57.74  13  18   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City           -0.39     -4.61                      
 27 10/31/2003 Away    L    55.05   6  14   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont         -3.09     -4.91                      
 28 09/03/2004 Home    W    65.39  20  14    A  14 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme          7.26     -1.26                      
 29 09/10/2004 Away    W    63.96  13  12   1A  24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield         5.82     -4.82                      
 30 09/17/2004 Home    W    49.91  13   0   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                 -8.23     21.23                      
 31 09/24/2004 Away    L    44.42   6  31   ZZ  47 ( 21- 16-  0) Iowa Falls            -13.72    -11.28                      
 32 10/01/2004 Home    L    75.35  17  28   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             17.21    -28.21                      
 33 10/08/2004 Home    L    31.50   0  41   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                 -26.64    -14.36                      
 34 10/15/2004 Away    L    39.00   0  39   3A  19 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard        -19.14    -19.86                      
 35 10/22/2004 Away    L    57.80  20  28   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City           -0.34     -7.66                      
 36 10/29/2004 Home    L    52.99   0   7   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont         -5.15     -1.85                      
 37 09/02/2005 Away    W    75.45  41  28    A  14 ( 42- 49-  0) Belmond-Klemme         17.31     -4.31                      
 38 09/09/2005 Home    W    95.91  42   6   1A  24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield        37.77     -1.77                      
 39 09/16/2005 Away    L    36.96  21  24   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                -21.17     18.17                      
 40 09/23/2005 Home    W *  91.85  42   6   2A  39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden       33.71      2.29                      
 41 09/30/2005 Away    L    61.40  20  48   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake              3.27    -31.27                      
 42 10/07/2005 Away    L    69.55  26  32   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                  11.42    -17.42                      
 43 10/14/2005 Home    L    32.94   0  42   3A  19 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard        -25.19    -16.81                      
 44 10/21/2005 Home    W    68.74  20  14   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City           10.61     -4.61                      
 45 10/28/2005 Away    L    42.05  14  35   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -16.09     -4.91                      
 46 09/01/2006 Home    L *  44.21  21  38   2A  26 ( 45- 47-  0) Clarion-Goldfield     -13.93     -3.07                      
 47 09/08/2006 Away    W    76.96  26  12   1A  24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield        18.82     -4.82                      
 48 09/15/2006 Home    L *  64.13   0  15   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             5.99    -20.99                      
 49 09/22/2006 Away    L    51.46   7  27   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           -6.68    -13.32                      
 50 09/29/2006 Away    L    51.40  10  48   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             -6.73    -31.27                      
 51 10/06/2006 Home    L    56.13   8  24   3A  25 ( 49- 47-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     -2.01    -13.99                      
 52 10/13/2006 Home    L    70.53  25  28   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       12.39    -15.39                      
 53 10/20/2006 Away    L    30.49   0  44   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -27.64    -16.36                      
 54 10/27/2006 Away    L    63.07  23  45   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                 4.94    -26.94                      
 55 08/31/2007 Away    L *  38.26   8  34   2A  26 ( 45- 47-  0) Clarion-Goldfield     -19.87     -6.13                      
 56 09/07/2007 Home    W    80.91  40  19   1A  24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield        22.77     -1.77                      
 57 09/14/2007 Away    L *  61.19   6  27   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             3.05    -24.05                      
 58 09/21/2007 Home    L    56.40   7  19   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           -1.73    -10.27                      
 59 09/28/2007 Home    L    46.35  14  54   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -11.79    -28.21                      
 60 10/05/2007 Away    L    41.18  20  54   3A  25 ( 49- 47-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock    -16.95    -17.05                      
 61 10/12/2007 Away    L    42.59  28  62   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -15.55    -18.45                      
 62 10/19/2007 Home    L    44.44  13  40   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -13.70    -13.30                      
 63 10/26/2007 Home    L    75.02   8  15   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                16.88    -23.88                      
 64 08/29/2008 Away    W    77.59  35  34   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       19.45    -18.45  non-district        
 65 09/05/2008 Home    W    81.01  28   6   1A  25 ( 36- 56-  0) Lake Mills             22.87     -0.87  non-district        
 66 09/12/2008 Home    L    45.74  16  33   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City          -12.39     -4.61                      
 67 09/19/2008 Away    L    61.46  14  24   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City            3.32    -13.32                      
 68 09/26/2008 Away    W *  65.91  14   7   2A  39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden        7.77     -0.77                      
 69 10/03/2008 Home    L    76.35  18  28   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             18.21    -28.21                      
 70 10/10/2008 Away    L    69.18  29  35   3A  25 ( 49- 47-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     11.05    -17.05                      
 71 10/17/2008 Home    W    75.15  20   7   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                 17.01     -4.01                      
 72 10/24/2008 Home    L    45.99  14  28   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -12.15     -1.85                      
 73 08/28/2009 Home    W    98.53  48  23   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       40.39    -15.39  nd                  
 74 09/04/2009 Away    W    63.06  21  20   1A  25 ( 36- 56-  0) Lake Mills              4.93     -3.93  nd                  
 75 09/11/2009 Away    L    51.80  20  34   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City           -6.34     -7.66                      
 76 09/18/2009 Home    L    47.40  12  33   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -10.73    -10.27                      
 77 09/25/2009 Home    W *  56.85  26  25   2A  39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden       -1.29      2.29                      
 78 10/02/2009 Away    L    47.40  14  56   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -10.73    -31.27                      
 79 10/09/2009 Home    L    70.13  19  21   3A  25 ( 49- 47-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     11.99    -13.99                      
 80 10/16/2009 Away    W   105.21  40   0   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                 47.07     -7.07                      
 81 10/23/2009 Away    L    52.05  21  32   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont         -6.09     -4.91                      
 82 08/27/2010 Home    W    70.15  15   7   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                 12.01     -4.01  ND                  
 83 09/03/2010 Away    L    49.40   0  40   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             -8.73    -31.27  ND                  
 84 09/10/2010 Home    L *  59.57  32  35   2A  23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus       1.44     -4.44                      
 85 09/17/2010 Away    L *  62.26  26  28   2A  26 ( 45- 47-  0) Clarion-Goldfield       4.13     -6.13                      
 86 09/24/2010 Home    L *  45.85   0  10   2A  39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden      -12.29      2.29                      
 87 10/01/2010 Away    L *  63.19  14  33   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             5.05    -24.05                      
 88 10/08/2010 Away    L *  60.14  13  23   2A  18 ( 50- 45-  0) Osage                   2.01    -12.01                      
 89 10/15/2010 Home    L *  55.53   0   3   2A  34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                 -2.61     -0.39                      
 90 10/22/2010 Away    L *  27.26  20  42   2A  52 (  9- 28-  0) Manly Central Spring  -30.88      8.88                      
      Averages              58.18  15.0 26.2

Best game:  109.80 = 44 point win over Webster City
Worst game:  22.21 = 43 point loss to Algona
Team stdev:  17.21